Conditional Odds About

 

Odds history

Range

Shaded bands are the ranges.

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Reading the order books…

Joint distribution

About →
Total
Total
Big number: our estimate · underneath: live Polymarket bid–ask

Order books

Estimate depth

Dollars of extra arbitrage each answer would leave in the order books. Steep: real money behind the estimate. Flat: very little.

Cross-market consistency

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